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Q25Section A (Section A)25 of 60

Conditional inclusion-exclusion with three events

Let E1,E2,E3E_{1},E_{2},E_{3} and E4E_{4} be four events such that P(Ei∣E4)=23,i=1,2,3;P(Ei∩Ejc∣E4)=16,i,j=1,2,3;i≠jandP(E1∩E2∩E3c∣E4)=16P(E_{i}|E_{4})=\frac{2}{3}, i=1,2,3;\quad P\left(E_{i}\cap E_{j}^{c}|E_{4}\right)=\frac{1}{6}, i,j=1,2,3; i\neq j\quad\text{and}\quad P\left(E_{1}\cap E_{2}\cap E_{3}^{c}|E_{4}\right)=\frac{1}{6} Then, P(E1∪E2∪E3∣E4)P(E_{1}\cup E_{2}\cup E_{3}|E_{4}) is equal to

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