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Q22Section A (Section A)22 of 60

Probability tail from moment sequence

Let XX be a random variable such that the moment generating function of XX exists in a neighborhood of zero and E(Xn)=(−1)n25+2n+15+15,n=1,2,3,… .E(X^n) = \frac{(-1)^n 2}{5} + \frac{2^{n+1}}{5} + \frac{1}{5},\quad n=1, 2, 3, \dots. Then, P(∣X−12∣>1)P\left(\left|X - \frac{1}{2}\right| > 1\right) equals

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