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Q109Section III (Statistics)109 of 180

Total probability and Bayes' theorem

Three software engineers A, B, C are being considered for selection as project leader. The probabilities of their selection are in the ratio 1:3:61:3:6. If A is selected, the probability that she will use R software is 0.80.8; the corresponding probabilities for B and C are respectively 0.50.5 and 0.30.3. Consider:

(I) The probability that R software will be used for the new project is 0.410.41.
(II) If R software is used, the probability that either A or B is the project leader is 23/4123/41.

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