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Q59Section C (Section C)59 of 60

UMVUE of a Poisson tail

Let x1=1x_{1}=1, x2=4x_{2}=4 be the data on a random sample of size 22 from a Poisson(θ)\mathrm{Poisson}(\theta) distribution, where θ∈(0,∞)\theta\in(0,\infty). Let α~\widetilde{\alpha} be the uniformly minimum variance unbiased estimate of α(θ)=∑k=4∞e−θθkk!\alpha(\theta)=\displaystyle\sum_{k=4}^{\infty}\dfrac{e^{-\theta}\theta^{k}}{k!} based on the given data. Then α~\widetilde{\alpha} equals __________ (round off to two decimal places)

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